Dem poll: Schreibman pulls even with Gibson

Posted at: 10/25/2012 11:43 PM
Updated at: 10/26/2012 9:57 AM
By: Dan Levy

BRUNSWICK - According to the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, Julian Schreibman is now polling within the margin of error, which means he has pulled into a statistical tie with Congressman Chris Gibson in the newly redrawn 19th Congressional District.

It's important to point out that Schriebman, a former federal prosecutor, is in that dead heat in a poll conducted by democrats. Gibson's most recent internal polling had him leading by 11 points, which is a significant change from last month, when a Siena Research Institute Poll had Gibson leading by 16 points.

Twelve days before the election, no one is denying that Gibson is vulnerable, or that Schreibman could pull an upset.

At the Country View Diner in Brunswick Thursday afternoon, Julian Schreibman hosted a roundtable discussion focusing on women's issues, which he says have become a relevant campaign issue in the 19th Congressional District.

"The Congressman (Gibson) went to Washington on a pledge of focusing on jobs and the economy and instead of doing that," Schreibman says, "He's voted over and over again to restrict a woman's right to chose."

Like Schreibman, Chris Gibson is also Pro Choice, however there's a caveat.

"Like the majority of my constituents, I do not support late term abortions," Gibson says, "Nor (do I think) taxpayer dollars (should be used) to pay for abortions."

When it comes to fracking, both candidates seem to be on the same page.

"The evidence that I've seen when it comes to fracking is that it's risky for the environment and risky to our local economies in this part of New York," Schreibman espouses.

"It's critical that we have confidence in the way we do it in a way that would protect our water and our air," Gibson says.

One other thing the candidates have in common: both believe they are going to win.

"I've been working hard for the people of the 20th Congressional District (Gibson's old constituency before redistricting) to grow this economy," Gibson says. "I've focused on local issues such as storm relief, broadband, and Lyme Disease and helping farmers."

"One thing that I'm very proud of is the support that we've had in this campaign is very much grassroots support," Schreibman points out. "The congressman's campaign has really been fueled by political action committees and corporate PACs."

According to enrollment figures in the new 19th Congressional District, 31% are democrats, 34% republicans, and 35% independents.

Also, according to the same democrat poll cited above, residents of the 19th Congressional District (right now) favor Obama over Romney by 7 points, and Gillibrand over Long by 25 points.

Coattails could be a huge benefit to Schreibman.